All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) |
Franklin Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/14 |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
118 | |
234 |
586 |
617 |
277 |
194 |
561 |
171 |
736 |
164 |
640 |
181 |
704 |
101 |
159 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
133 |
118 |
118 |
151 |
194 |
118 |
171 |
118 |
164 |
118 |
181 |
118 |
101 |
159 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) |
Franklin Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invitational |
Ted Fox Invitational |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Johnson County |
Franklin Community Sectional |
Franklin Community Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 5 |
Ty Garrett |
12 |
15:38 |
15:45 |
|
|
|
|
15:41 |
|
15:32 |
|
16:00 |
|
15:55 |
|
15:34 |
15:32 |
| 20 |
Parker Mimbela |
12 |
15:51 |
15:39 |
15:46 |
|
|
16:31 |
16:16 |
|
16:16 |
|
16:10 |
|
16:11 |
|
15:42 |
16:22 |
| 39 |
Kyle Montgomery |
11 |
16:06 |
16:05 |
15:59 |
|
|
|
17:08 |
|
16:35 |
|
16:46 |
|
16:32 |
|
15:57 |
16:33 |
| 52 |
Gavin Rockwell |
11 |
16:15 |
16:32 |
|
|
|
16:11 |
16:14 |
|
16:13 |
|
16:16 |
|
16:25 |
|
16:12 |
16:10 |
| 63 |
Jarret Rockwell |
12 |
16:20 |
16:07 |
16:54 |
|
|
17:01 |
16:45 |
|
16:38 |
|
16:32 |
|
16:27 |
|
16:40 |
16:14 |
| 81 |
Griffin Hennessy |
12 |
16:26 |
15:46 |
|
|
|
16:59 |
16:34 |
|
16:33 |
|
16:32 |
|
16:26 |
|
16:17 |
16:44 |
| 111 |
Levi Farmer |
12 |
16:37 |
17:10 |
16:51 |
17:01 |
|
16:22 |
16:45 |
|
16:30 |
|
16:15 |
|
|
|
16:35 |
16:56 |
| 248 |
Cameron Cox |
9 |
17:10 |
|
16:43 |
17:00 |
|
17:18 |
|
17:02 |
17:26 |
|
|
17:14 |
|
17:11 |
|
|
| 448 |
Jacob Ellis |
12 |
17:38 |
17:36 |
17:39 |
17:44 |
17:44 |
17:22 |
|
17:23 |
17:45 |
|
|
17:39 |
|
17:45 |
|
|
| 465 |
Logan Buckmaster |
12 |
17:40 |
18:35 |
17:29 |
17:39 |
17:25 |
17:28 |
|
17:44 |
17:25 |
|
|
17:46 |
|
18:28 |
|
|
| 514 |
Rylan Mullins |
11 |
17:45 |
17:56 |
17:27 |
|
16:56 |
19:27 |
|
17:21 |
|
17:40 |
|
18:32 |
|
17:45 |
|
|
| 613 |
Nathan Hollcraft |
11 |
17:54 |
|
18:10 |
17:59 |
18:01 |
17:50 |
|
18:12 |
18:02 |
17:31 |
|
17:38 |
|
18:04 |
|
|
| 712 |
Curtis Williams |
10 |
18:04 |
18:17 |
|
17:59 |
17:40 |
18:02 |
|
17:36 |
18:23 |
|
|
18:29 |
|
18:07 |
|
|
| 759 |
Atticus Sauer |
10 |
18:09 |
17:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:22 |
18:30 |
18:00 |
|
17:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 775 |
Michael Leavitt |
9 |
18:10 |
|
18:25 |
18:17 |
18:05 |
18:14 |
|
17:51 |
18:38 |
18:08 |
|
17:48 |
|
18:22 |
|
|
| 892 |
Carter Wynberry |
10 |
18:20 |
17:48 |
|
18:06 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
18:23 |
|
18:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 968 |
Mason Vrshek |
10 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18:55 |
18:10 |
18:29 |
|
18:23 |
|
|
|
|
| 998 |
Carson Boggs |
9 |
18:29 |
|
18:03 |
19:02 |
18:40 |
18:29 |
|
18:46 |
18:59 |
17:58 |
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,117 |
Isaac Schemmel |
9 |
18:38 |
|
|
|
|
18:53 |
|
19:03 |
18:30 |
18:43 |
|
18:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,291 |
Baylor Winkelmann |
9 |
18:51 |
|
|
18:46 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
18:39 |
|
19:22 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,405 |
Logan Combs |
12 |
19:00 |
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
19:22 |
|
|
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
|
Christian Langrel |
9 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
19:25 |
19:09 |
|
19:29 |
19:01 |
18:48 |
|
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jack Bischoff |
10 |
19:27 |
18:30 |
18:25 |
|
|
19:35 |
|
19:36 |
19:37 |
19:27 |
|
19:25 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sam Heineman |
10 |
19:27 |
|
|
19:57 |
20:46 |
19:42 |
|
19:34 |
19:35 |
18:51 |
|
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100.0% |
3.1 |
136 |
9.8 |
25.0 |
28.8 |
20.7 |
11.5 |
3.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.8 |
96 |
10.1 |
29.1 |
37.0 |
21.6 |
2.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
18 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
18 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Garrett |
100% |
9.6 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
4.2 |
6.2 |
7.2 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
6.7 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
5.0 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
20.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
100.0% |
99.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100.0% |
39.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
0.0% |
85.9% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100.0% |
55.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.0% |
62.1% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100.0% |
65.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0% |
44.6% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100.0% |
77.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0% |
26.5% |
| Levi Farmer |
100.0% |
95.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
6.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Garrett |
100% |
6.1 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
6.6 |
13.3 |
14.0 |
12.3 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
11.7 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
6.7 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
20.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
4.8 |
5.2 |
5.3 |
5.4 |
5.4 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
27.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.9 |
4.3 |
4.9 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100% |
32.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100% |
37.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Levi Farmer |
100% |
48.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Garrett |
100% |
1.0 |
80.7 |
17.1 |
2.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Parker Mimbela |
100% |
1.8 |
6.9 |
55.2 |
34.9 |
2.8 |
0.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
3.4 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
23.5 |
57.4 |
13.7 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
4.6 |
|
0.1 |
3.0 |
17.5 |
49.5 |
22.1 |
6.5 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jarret Rockwell |
100% |
5.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
4.8 |
22.4 |
44.6 |
21.6 |
4.5 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Griffin Hennessy |
100% |
6.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
6.4 |
21.8 |
49.5 |
15.4 |
3.9 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Levi Farmer |
100% |
7.7 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
2.0 |
11.2 |
50.4 |
18.6 |
9.5 |
4.4 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Ty Garrett |
1.0 |
80.7 |
16.9 |
2.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Parker Mimbela |
1.8 |
6.7 |
56.1 |
33.9 |
3.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyle Montgomery |
3.4 |
0.1 |
2.3 |
24.5 |
56.2 |
13.8 |
2.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gavin Rockwell |
4.6 |
|
0.1 |
3.0 |
17.7 |
48.2 |
22.8 |
6.9 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jarret Rockwell |
5.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
5.1 |
23.3 |
44.6 |
21.1 |
4.3 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Griffin Hennessy |
6.4 |
|
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
6.8 |
21.5 |
50.0 |
15.5 |
3.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Levi Farmer |
7.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
2.0 |
11.6 |
54.9 |
18.8 |
8.3 |
3.1 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
